Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 • Panetolikos Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.45) 1.83 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 22.9% 50.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panetolikos 0 4.6% 8.5% 7.8% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPanetolikosAEK Athens FC
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack42%83%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Panetolikos AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%29%31%86%67%77%
Draws0%43%23%0%17%8%
Loses67%29%46%14%17%15%

Form: Panetolikos: LWLDLLWDLWDLW • AEK Athens FC: WWWDWWLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Panetolikos AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
GF total951410919
GF avg1.50.71.11.41.51.5
GA total99183710
GA avg1.51.31.40.41.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePanetolikosAEK Athens FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%69%85%46%
1.523%38%31%31%
2.515%8%23%0%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPanetolikosAEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets134527
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricPanetolikosAEK Athens FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricPanetolikosAEK Athens FC
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-12-3
Biggest losses0-26-00-22-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against2622

Model comparison

MetricPanetolikosAEK Athens FC
Form32%68%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Athens FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.67 @ Pinnacle
Away1.42 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Panetolikos = 1.24 (league 1.45), AEK Athens FC = 1.83 (league 1.23)

AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Panetolikos 0 4.6% 8.5% 7.8% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 50.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1