Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 19:00 • OPAP Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.48) 0.58 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 27.2% 15.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Panathinaikos
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 13.6% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 11.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%60%
Defense67%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Athens FC Panathinaikos
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins88%63%75%63%29%47%
Draws0%25%13%25%29%27%
Loses13%13%13%13%43%27%

Form: AEK Athens FC: WWWDWWLLWWWWWWWD • Panathinaikos: DLDWWDWLWWLDWLW

League goals

Metric AEK Athens FC Panathinaikos
HATHAT
GF total121527141024
GF avg1.51.91.71.81.41.6
GA total481271017
GA avg0.51.00.80.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%87%73%
1.538%25%60%27%
2.525%0%13%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
HATHAT
Clean sheets538314
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
Wins72
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-53-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-02-32-0
Goals For4533
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAEK Athens FCPanathinaikos
Form65%35%
Att63%38%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : AEK Athens FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AEK Athens FC = 1.42 (league 1.48), Panathinaikos = 0.58 (league 1.21)

Panathinaikos
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 13.6% 7.8% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 11.1% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 7.9% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 15.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1