Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 15:00 • AEL FC Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.48) 1.41 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.7% 27.2% 49.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aris Thessalonikis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 10.4% 14.7% 10.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.8% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarisaAris Thessalonikis
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack27%33%
Defense47%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larisa Aris Thessalonikis
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins0%13%6%25%38%31%
Draws50%38%44%63%13%38%
Loses50%50%50%13%50%31%

Form: Larisa: LDDDDLLWLLLLDLDD • Aris Thessalonikis: WLWWDLDDLDLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Larisa Aris Thessalonikis
HATHAT
GF total77147714
GF avg0.90.90.90.90.90.9
GA total15132861117
GA avg1.91.61.80.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarisaAris Thessalonikis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%69%69%
1.525%56%19%25%
2.50%19%0%13%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarisaAris Thessalonikis
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricLarisaAris Thessalonikis
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricLarisaAris Thessalonikis
Wins12
Draws42
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-01-2
Biggest losses2-53-00-23-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricLarisaAris Thessalonikis
Form27%73%
Att44%56%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals14%86%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aris Thessalonikis

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away2.22 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Betano
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Larisa = 0.85 (league 1.48), Aris Thessalonikis = 1.41 (league 1.21)

Aris Thessalonikis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 10.4% 14.7% 10.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.8% 5.3% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 49.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1