Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 18:00 • AEL FC Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.47) 0.56 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 32.7% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 0
19.1%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Asteras Tripolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 19.1% 10.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLarisaAsteras Tripolis
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack27%36%
Defense9%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Larisa Asteras Tripolis
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins17%17%17%17%8%13%
Draws42%33%38%42%17%29%
Loses42%50%46%42%75%58%

Form: Larisa: LDDDDLLWLLLLDLDDWWWLDDLL • Asteras Tripolis: LLDLDLDLWDDWDDLLLLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Larisa Asteras Tripolis
HATHAT
GF total11102115520
GF avg0.90.80.91.30.40.8
GA total201838172138
GA avg1.71.51.61.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLarisaAsteras Tripolis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%79%54%79%
1.521%46%21%54%
2.50%21%8%21%
3.50%8%0%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLarisaAsteras Tripolis
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score3584711

Penalties

MetricLarisaAsteras Tripolis
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricLarisaAsteras Tripolis
Wins31
Draws42
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses2-53-00-34-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricLarisaAsteras Tripolis
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h29%71%
Goals47%53%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Asteras Tripolis

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.07 @ Pinnacle
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Larisa = 1.10 (league 1.47), Asteras Tripolis = 0.56 (league 1.22)

Asteras Tripolis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Larisa 0 19.1% 10.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.4% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 18.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1