Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:30 • Peristeri Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.47) 1.92 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 19.7% 70.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 2
16.6%
0 - 3
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atromitos 0 9.0% 17.3% 16.6% 10.6% 5.1% 1.9%
1 4.4% 8.5% 8.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtromitosAEK Athens FC
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack60%100%
Defense70%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atromitos AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins17%42%29%83%58%71%
Draws33%25%29%8%33%21%
Loses50%33%42%8%8%8%

Form: Atromitos: WLLDDLDWLLLLLWDLWDLWDWWD • AEK Athens FC: WWWDWWLLWWWWWWWDWWDWDWDW

League goals

Metric Atromitos AEK Athens FC
HATHAT
GF total111324222244
GF avg0.91.11.01.81.81.8
GA total15122751015
GA avg1.31.01.10.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtromitosAEK Athens FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%67%88%42%
1.529%33%42%21%
2.58%8%29%0%
3.50%4%21%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtromitosAEK Athens FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets3588614
Failed to score459123

Penalties

MetricAtromitosAEK Athens FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricAtromitosAEK Athens FC
Wins27
Draws21
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-00-5
Biggest losses0-24-10-22-0
Goals For2345
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricAtromitosAEK Athens FC
Form50%50%
Att35%65%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%100%
Goals18%82%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Winner : AEK Athens FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away1.56 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.77 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atromitos = 0.49 (league 1.47), AEK Athens FC = 1.92 (league 1.22)

AEK Athens FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atromitos 0 9.0% 17.3% 16.6% 10.6% 5.1% 1.9%
1 4.4% 8.5% 8.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 70.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1