Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 18:45 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.62) 0.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 21.9% 14.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bala Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 7.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.7% 10.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBala Town
Played44
Form58%58%
Attack38%23%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.33 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.53 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Bala Town
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%33%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%33%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%33%25%0%50%25%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWW • Bala Town: DWLW

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Bala Town
HATHAT
GF total325213
GF avg3.00.71.31.00.50.8
GA total246123
GA avg2.01.31.50.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCBala Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%50%
1.525%50%0%25%
2.525%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBala Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBala Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBala Town
Wins01
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-11-00-1
Biggest losses—3-0—2-0
Goals For3111
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBala Town
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h38%62%
Goals25%75%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bala Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ William Hill
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away6.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 1.85 (league 1.62), Bala Town = 0.75 (league 1.33)

Bala Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 7.4% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.7% 10.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.8% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 14.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1