Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 11:30 • Essity Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.62) 5.66 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 4.7% 41.8%
best score tips
1 - 5
5.4%
1 - 4
4.8%
2 - 5
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.4%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.4%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.7% 3.9% 4.4%
3 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack46%77%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Briton Ferry
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins50%33%40%0%67%40%
Draws0%33%20%50%33%40%
Loses50%33%40%50%0%20%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWL • Briton Ferry: WDWLD

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Briton Ferry
HATHAT
GF total4261910
GF avg2.00.71.20.53.02.0
GA total549246
GA avg2.51.31.81.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%80%80%
1.520%60%60%40%
2.520%40%40%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-1—0-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-1—
Goals For3114
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Form47%53%
Att38%63%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total44.5%55.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Briton Ferry and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.84 @ Marathonbet
Away4.65 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 1.60 (league 1.62), Briton Ferry = 5.66 (league 1.33)

Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 0.1% 0.4% 1.1% 2.1% 3.0% 3.4%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.4%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 2.7% 3.9% 4.4%
3 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 41.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1