Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 12:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.60) 2.21 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 18.5% 31.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
2 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
1 2.1% 4.7% 5.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.3% 5.8% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0%
4 1.5% 3.4% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%50%
Defense64%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Briton Ferry
HATHAT
Played891710818
Wins50%67%59%10%38%22%
Draws25%22%24%30%38%33%
Loses25%11%18%60%25%44%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWW • Briton Ferry: WDWLDLDLLDWLLLWDLD

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Briton Ferry
HATHAT
GF total18163481624
GF avg2.31.82.00.82.01.3
GA total12719181432
GA avg1.50.81.11.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%65%72%78%
1.559%29%44%67%
2.547%18%11%17%
3.56%0%6%11%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
HATHAT
Clean sheets246224
Failed to score022505

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-02-54-1
Goals For4324
Goals Against3354

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBriton Ferry
Form72%28%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h60%40%
Goals71%29%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.85 @ 188Bet
Away6.64 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 2.58 (league 1.60), Briton Ferry = 2.21 (league 1.36)

Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4%
1 2.1% 4.7% 5.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.7% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.4% 5.3% 5.8% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0%
4 1.5% 3.4% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7%
5 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 31.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1