Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.62) 3.43 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 15.4% 45.3%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.7%
2 - 2
5.0%
2 - 4
4.9%
Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 1.2%
1 0.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.7% 4.1% 2.8%
2 0.8% 2.9% 5.0% 5.7% 4.9% 3.3%
3 0.7% 2.3% 4.0% 4.6% 3.9% 2.7%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4% 1.6%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlint Town UnitedBarry Town
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack57%35%
Defense35%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flint Town United Barry Town
HATHAT
Played246437
Wins50%25%33%25%33%29%
Draws0%25%17%50%33%43%
Loses50%50%50%25%33%29%

Form: Flint Town United: DLLWWL • Barry Town: WDLDDLW

League goals

Metric Flint Town United Barry Town
HATHAT
GF total68147411
GF avg3.02.02.31.81.31.6
GA total7916448
GA avg3.52.32.71.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlint Town UnitedBarry Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%86%57%
1.567%67%43%29%
2.533%50%14%29%
3.533%33%14%0%
4.517%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlint Town UnitedBarry Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricFlint Town UnitedBarry Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFlint Town UnitedBarry Town
Wins21
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-54-00-2
Biggest losses2-55-02-33-1
Goals For4542
Goals Against5533

Model comparison

MetricFlint Town UnitedBarry Town
Form55%45%
Att62%38%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Barry Town and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flint Town United = 2.41 (league 1.62), Barry Town = 3.43 (league 1.33)

Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 0.3% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 1.2%
1 0.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.7% 4.1% 2.8%
2 0.8% 2.9% 5.0% 5.7% 4.9% 3.3%
3 0.7% 2.3% 4.0% 4.6% 3.9% 2.7%
4 0.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4% 1.6%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 0.8%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 45.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1