Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Maes Tegid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.62) 0.91 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.2% 38.4% 49.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.5%
0 - 1
26.9%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 29.5% 26.9% 12.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBala TownThe New Saints
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack33%100%
Defense61%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.218 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bala Town The New Saints
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%80%50%67%
Draws75%0%33%0%50%22%
Loses0%40%22%20%0%11%

Form: Bala Town: DWLWWDLDW • The New Saints: LWWDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Bala Town The New Saints
HATHAT
GF total45918624
GF avg1.01.01.03.61.52.7
GA total3710527
GA avg0.81.41.11.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBala TownThe New Saints
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%78%44%
1.522%33%67%22%
2.511%11%56%11%
3.50%11%33%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBala TownThe New Saints
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricBala TownThe New Saints
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBala TownThe New Saints
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-36-01-3
Biggest losses—4-00-3—
Goals For2363
Goals Against2431

Model comparison

MetricBala TownThe New Saints
Form38%62%
Att25%75%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Winner : The New Saints

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.00 @ William Hill
Draw5.88 @ Pinnacle
Away1.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bala Town = 0.31 (league 1.62), The New Saints = 0.91 (league 1.32)

The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 29.5% 26.9% 12.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.2% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 49.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1