Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 18:45 • Old Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.62) 3.50 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 5.8% 78.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
14.9%
0 - 4
13.0%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Briton Ferry 0 2.1% 7.3% 12.8% 14.9% 13.0% 9.1%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.8% 3.4%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBriton FerryPenybont
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack89%100%
Defense0%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Briton Ferry Penybont
HATHAT
Played4595510
Wins0%40%22%60%80%70%
Draws25%40%33%0%20%10%
Loses75%20%44%40%0%20%

Form: Briton Ferry: WDWLDLDLL • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWW

League goals

Metric Briton Ferry Penybont
HATHAT
GF total4121681018
GF avg1.02.41.81.62.01.8
GA total9817336
GA avg2.31.61.90.60.60.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBriton FerryPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%70%40%
1.556%67%50%20%
2.522%11%30%0%
3.511%11%20%0%
4.50%11%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBriton FerryPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets011336
Failed to score101213

Penalties

MetricBriton FerryPenybont
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBriton FerryPenybont
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-35-00-4
Biggest losses2-52-10-2—
Goals For2454
Goals Against5222

Model comparison

MetricBriton FerryPenybont
Form13%87%
Att40%60%
Def7%93%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total21.0%79.0%

Advice: Winner : Penybont

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.67 @ Pinnacle
Away1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Briton Ferry = 0.37 (league 1.62), Penybont = 3.50 (league 1.32)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Briton Ferry 0 2.1% 7.3% 12.8% 14.9% 13.0% 9.1%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.8% 3.4%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 5.8% · Away win 78.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1