Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:30 • Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.62) 2.11 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 19.6% 64.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.4%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bala Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 5.1% 10.8% 11.4% 8.0% 4.2% 1.8%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.8% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5%
2 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiff METBala Town
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack86%43%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff MET Bala Town
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%20%60%40%
Draws40%60%50%60%0%30%
Loses60%20%40%20%40%30%

Form: Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLW • Bala Town: DWLWWDLDWL

League goals

Metric Cardiff MET Bala Town
HATHAT
GF total5914459
GF avg1.01.81.40.81.00.9
GA total148225712
GA avg2.81.62.21.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiff METBala Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%90%60%60%
1.540%60%20%40%
2.510%40%10%10%
3.50%30%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiff METBala Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricCardiff METBala Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCardiff METBala Town
Wins02
Draws41
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-31-01-3
Biggest losses0-44-20-24-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricCardiff METBala Town
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cardiff MET or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.33 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Unibet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff MET = 0.86 (league 1.62), Bala Town = 2.11 (league 1.33)

Bala Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 5.1% 10.8% 11.4% 8.0% 4.2% 1.8%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.8% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5%
2 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 64.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1