Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • Maes Tegid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.62) 0.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.6% 40.4% 37.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.7%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
14.2%
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 28.7% 21.7% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 10.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBala TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack21%57%
Defense29%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bala Town GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins20%50%36%40%40%40%
Draws60%0%27%20%40%30%
Loses20%50%36%40%20%30%

Form: Bala Town: DWLWWDLDWLL • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDW

League goals

Metric Bala Town GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
GF total4599514
GF avg0.80.80.81.81.01.4
GA total59148513
GA avg1.01.51.31.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBala TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%80%70%
1.518%45%30%40%
2.59%9%30%20%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBala TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score235022

Penalties

MetricBala TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBala TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricBala TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Form33%67%
Att27%73%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h62%38%
Goals71%29%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or GAP Connah S Quay FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away1.88 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bala Town = 0.49 (league 1.62), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 0.75 (league 1.33)

GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 28.7% 21.7% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 10.7% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 37.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1