Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.62) 1.51 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 25.9% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
9.4%
Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 8.2% 12.4% 9.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.1% 12.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack36%29%
Defense7%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flint Town United Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
Played46106511
Wins50%17%30%33%20%27%
Draws25%17%20%50%40%45%
Loses25%67%50%17%40%27%

Form: Flint Town United: DLLWWLDLWL • Colwyn Bay: DDLDDWWDLLW

League goals

Metric Flint Town United Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
GF total811198513
GF avg2.01.81.91.31.01.2
GA total81624549
GA avg2.02.72.40.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%64%73%
1.560%60%27%9%
2.520%50%18%0%
3.520%30%9%0%
4.510%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricFlint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFlint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-53-01-4
Biggest losses2-55-00-11-0
Goals For4534
Goals Against5521

Model comparison

MetricFlint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def13%87%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Colwyn Bay

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Superbet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flint Town United = 0.99 (league 1.62), Colwyn Bay = 1.51 (league 1.33)

Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 8.2% 12.4% 9.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.1% 12.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 48.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1