Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • Stebonheath Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.62) 2.72 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.5% 11.6% 78.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.9%
0 - 3
13.5%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 4.0% 11.0% 14.9% 13.5% 9.2% 5.0%
1 2.0% 5.4% 7.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.5%
2 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metricllanelli AFCCardiff MET
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack21%50%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric llanelli AFC Cardiff MET
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%20%18%17%20%18%
Draws17%0%9%33%60%45%
Loses67%80%73%50%20%36%

Form: llanelli AFC: LLLLLLLDWWL • Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWW

League goals

Metric llanelli AFC Cardiff MET
HATHAT
GF total3367916
GF avg0.50.60.51.21.81.5
GA total12183014822
GA avg2.03.62.72.31.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Linellanelli AFCCardiff MET
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.536%82%91%82%
1.518%64%45%55%
2.50%45%9%36%
3.50%36%0%27%
4.50%27%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metricllanelli AFCCardiff MET
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score437101

Penalties

Metricllanelli AFCCardiff MET
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

Metricllanelli AFCCardiff MET
Wins20
Draws14
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-56-00-44-2
Goals For2223
Goals Against5644

Model comparison

Metricllanelli AFCCardiff MET
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%87%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff MET

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.25 @ Bet365
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away1.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): llanelli AFC = 0.49 (league 1.62), Cardiff MET = 2.72 (league 1.33)

Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 4.0% 11.0% 14.9% 13.5% 9.2% 5.0%
1 2.0% 5.4% 7.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.5%
2 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.5% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 78.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1