Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • DragonBet Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.62) 0.14 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
83.6% 12.0% 1.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
23.2%
1 - 0
20.4%
3 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Haverfordwest County AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 9.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.6% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenybontHaverfordwest County AFC
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack86%43%
Defense93%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penybont Haverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
Played56116410
Wins60%67%64%17%25%20%
Draws0%33%18%33%0%20%
Loses40%0%18%50%75%60%

Form: Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWD • Haverfordwest County AFC: LDWDLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Penybont Haverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
GF total810189110
GF avg1.61.71.61.50.31.0
GA total33611920
GA avg0.60.50.51.82.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenybontHaverfordwest County AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%36%60%90%
1.545%18%30%50%
2.527%0%10%40%
3.518%0%0%10%
4.59%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenybontHaverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets347011
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricPenybontHaverfordwest County AFC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPenybontHaverfordwest County AFC
Wins41
Draws11
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-10-1
Biggest losses0-2—1-35-0
Goals For5431
Goals Against2235

Model comparison

MetricPenybontHaverfordwest County AFC
Form81%19%
Att67%33%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total85.3%14.7%

Advice: Winner : Penybont

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ Superbet
Draw4.77 @ Pinnacle
Away8.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penybont = 2.28 (league 1.62), Haverfordwest County AFC = 0.14 (league 1.32)

Haverfordwest County AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 9.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.6% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.6% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1