Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.62) 1.69 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 23.3% 63.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 2
14.6%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 10.2% 17.3% 14.6% 8.2% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.2% 8.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
2 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownThe New Saints
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack57%100%
Defense36%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.619 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town The New Saints
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%50%55%83%60%73%
Draws0%33%18%0%40%18%
Loses40%17%27%17%0%9%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLL • The New Saints: LWWDDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town The New Saints
HATHAT
GF total12152722830
GF avg2.42.52.53.71.62.7
GA total7916527
GA avg1.41.51.50.80.40.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownThe New Saints
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%91%82%36%
1.564%45%73%18%
2.536%9%55%9%
3.527%0%36%0%
4.527%0%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownThe New Saints
HATHAT
Clean sheets101437
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownThe New Saints
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownThe New Saints
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-56-01-3
Biggest losses0-31-00-3—
Goals For6563
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownThe New Saints
Form29%71%
Att30%70%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h20%80%
Goals24%76%
Total26.0%74.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or The New Saints

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw6.37 @ Pinnacle
Away1.50 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Superbet
Under 2.53.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 0.59 (league 1.62), The New Saints = 1.69 (league 1.33)

The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 10.2% 17.3% 14.6% 8.2% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.2% 8.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
2 1.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 63.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1