Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:30 • Jenner Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.66) 1.46 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.9% 26.1% 45.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barry Town 0 7.9% 11.5% 8.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack21%29%
Defense50%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barry Town Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%33%25%50%50%50%
Draws50%33%42%0%33%17%
Loses33%33%33%50%17%33%

Form: Barry Town: WDLDDLWDWDLL • Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Barry Town Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
GF total7714131528
GF avg1.21.21.22.22.52.3
GA total5101510919
GA avg0.81.71.31.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarry TownCaernarfon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%58%83%92%
1.533%33%58%50%
2.517%25%33%17%
3.58%8%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets325101
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Wins13
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-26-12-5
Biggest losses2-34-00-31-0
Goals For4365
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Form63%38%
Att43%57%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals39%61%
Total46.2%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : Barry Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barry Town = 1.08 (league 1.66), Caernarfon Town = 1.46 (league 1.37)

Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barry Town 0 7.9% 11.5% 8.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.5% 12.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.9% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 45.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1