Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:30 • Blue Turtle Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.62) 1.21 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 27.6% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colwyn Bay 0 9.0% 10.8% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColwyn BayCardiff MET
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack13%56%
Defense88%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colwyn Bay Cardiff MET
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%17%33%25%
Draws50%33%42%33%50%42%
Loses17%33%25%50%17%33%

Form: Colwyn Bay: DDLDDWWDLLWW • Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Colwyn Bay Cardiff MET
HATHAT
GF total861471219
GF avg1.31.01.21.22.01.6
GA total54914923
GA avg0.80.70.82.31.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColwyn BayCardiff MET
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%92%83%
1.525%8%50%50%
2.517%0%17%33%
3.58%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColwyn BayCardiff MET
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricColwyn BayCardiff MET
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricColwyn BayCardiff MET
Wins20
Draws24
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-00-3
Biggest losses0-11-00-44-2
Goals For3423
Goals Against2144

Model comparison

MetricColwyn BayCardiff MET
Form44%56%
Att18%82%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Colwyn Bay or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away4.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Colwyn Bay = 1.20 (league 1.62), Cardiff MET = 1.21 (league 1.33)

Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colwyn Bay 0 9.0% 10.8% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.0% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.8% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 36.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1