Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 13:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.56 (league 1.62) 0.82 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 8.6% 4.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.4%
4 - 0
8.4%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
llanelli AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlint Town Unitedllanelli AFC
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack31%25%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flint Town United llanelli AFC
HATHAT
Played56117512
Wins40%17%27%14%20%17%
Draws20%17%18%14%0%8%
Loses40%67%55%71%80%75%

Form: Flint Town United: DLLWWLDLWLL • llanelli AFC: LLLLLLLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Flint Town United llanelli AFC
HATHAT
GF total81119437
GF avg1.61.81.70.60.60.6
GA total91625151833
GA avg1.82.72.32.13.62.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlint Town Unitedllanelli AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%42%83%
1.555%55%17%67%
2.518%45%0%50%
3.518%27%0%33%
4.59%18%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlint Town Unitedllanelli AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score213437

Penalties

MetricFlint Town Unitedllanelli AFC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFlint Town Unitedllanelli AFC
Wins22
Draws11
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-51-01-2
Biggest losses2-55-00-56-0
Goals For4522
Goals Against5556

Model comparison

MetricFlint Town Unitedllanelli AFC
Form36%64%
Att56%44%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Winner : Flint Town United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ 188Bet
Draw5.98 @ Pinnacle
Away9.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.70 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flint Town United = 3.56 (league 1.62), llanelli AFC = 0.82 (league 1.32)

llanelli AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.9% 6.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 8.6% · Away win 4.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1