Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:00 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.62) 0.48 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 13.8% 5.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.0%
1 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Haverfordwest County AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.1% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.0% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%40%
Defense85%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Haverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins40%57%50%29%20%25%
Draws20%29%25%29%0%17%
Loses40%14%25%43%80%58%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWW • Haverfordwest County AFC: LDWDLLLLLWLW

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Haverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
GF total9112011213
GF avg1.81.61.71.60.41.1
GA total8614111122
GA avg1.60.91.21.62.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%83%
1.542%33%33%50%
2.542%17%8%33%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets134112
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
Wins21
Draws11
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-10-1
Biggest losses1-33-01-35-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCHaverfordwest County AFC
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total63.7%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Dafabet
Draw4.35 @ 188Bet
Away6.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 2.44 (league 1.62), Haverfordwest County AFC = 0.48 (league 1.33)

Haverfordwest County AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 5.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.1% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.0% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 5.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1