Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.66) 1.87 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 22.3% 43.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 3.2% 6.1% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.1% 9.5% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
2 4.0% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlint Town UnitedPenybont
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack80%50%
Defense10%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flint Town United Penybont
HATHAT
Played67137714
Wins50%14%31%57%57%57%
Draws17%14%15%0%29%14%
Loses33%71%54%43%14%29%

Form: Flint Town United: DLLWWLDLWLLWL • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLL

League goals

Metric Flint Town United Penybont
HATHAT
GF total121224101222
GF avg2.01.71.81.41.71.6
GA total920296915
GA avg1.52.92.20.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlint Town UnitedPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%64%50%
1.554%54%50%29%
2.523%46%21%7%
3.523%31%14%7%
4.58%15%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlint Town UnitedPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets213347
Failed to score213325

Penalties

MetricFlint Town UnitedPenybont
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFlint Town UnitedPenybont
Wins24
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-55-00-4
Biggest losses2-55-00-26-2
Goals For4554
Goals Against5526

Model comparison

MetricFlint Town UnitedPenybont
Form46%54%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Penybont

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flint Town United = 1.56 (league 1.66), Penybont = 1.87 (league 1.37)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 3.2% 6.1% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.1% 9.5% 8.8% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
2 4.0% 7.4% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.1% 3.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 43.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1