Premier League
— Wales
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 •
The Oval
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.62)
2.82 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.0% | 17.2% | 53.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Briton Ferry | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caernarfon Town | 0 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 13% |
| Defense | 40% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 23% |
| Draws | 0% | 38% | 21% | 29% | 33% | 31% |
| Loses | 50% | 13% | 29% | 71% | 17% | 46% |
Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDW • Briton Ferry: WDWLDLDLLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 4 | 13 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 69% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 50% | 38% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 15% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 2-5 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 1-0 | 2-5 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caernarfon Town | Briton Ferry |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 55.4% | 44.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 1.76 (league 1.62), Briton Ferry = 2.82 (league 1.33)
| Briton Ferry | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caernarfon Town | 0 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 53.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1