Premier League
— Wales
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 14:30 •
Cyncoed Campus
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.62)
2.53 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 15.9% | 68.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.5%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff MET | 0 | 3.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 73% |
| Attack | 80% | 80% |
| Defense | 87% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 33% | 57% | 46% |
| Draws | 29% | 57% | 43% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Loses | 43% | 14% | 29% | 33% | 14% | 23% |
Form: Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWWDW • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 79% | 85% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 43% | 46% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 29% | 46% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 21% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cardiff MET | GAP Connah S Quay FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or GAP Connah S Quay FC
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ 1xBet
Away2.07 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ Unibet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cardiff MET = 0.89 (league 1.62), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 2.53 (league 1.33)
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cardiff MET | 0 | 3.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 68.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
