Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 14:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.60) 1.44 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 20.5% 24.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
8.4%
3 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 2.7% 3.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 5.8% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.6% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBarry Town
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack100%58%
Defense58%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Barry Town
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins60%70%65%30%30%30%
Draws20%20%20%50%40%45%
Loses20%10%15%20%30%25%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWWW • Barry Town: WDLDDLWDWDLLDDWDWDWL

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Barry Town
HATHAT
GF total251843141327
GF avg2.51.82.21.41.31.4
GA total1572271421
GA avg1.50.71.10.71.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCBarry Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%65%65%55%
1.565%30%35%30%
2.550%15%20%15%
3.510%0%15%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBarry Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets257639
Failed to score022437

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBarry Town
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBarry Town
Wins31
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-01-4
Biggest losses1-33-02-34-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCBarry Town
Form65%35%
Att65%35%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ SBO
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 2.18 (league 1.60), Barry Town = 1.44 (league 1.36)

Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 2.7% 3.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
1 5.8% 8.4% 6.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.6% 6.7% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 24.6%

vtt 7 , vtd1