Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:45 • Park Hall
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.60) 2.11 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.8% 16.5% 23.6%
best score tips
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 2
5.9%
3 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
The New Saints 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
2 2.6% 5.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.7% 5.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
4 2.1% 4.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThe New SaintsCaernarfon Town
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack100%85%
Defense46%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric The New Saints Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins75%78%76%50%44%47%
Draws0%22%12%13%44%29%
Loses25%0%12%38%11%24%

Form: The New Saints: LWWDDWWWWWWWWWWLW • Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDD

League goals

Metric The New Saints Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
GF total302151192039
GF avg3.82.33.02.42.22.3
GA total10515131225
GA avg1.30.60.91.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThe New SaintsCaernarfon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%47%88%88%
1.582%29%65%47%
2.565%12%29%12%
3.535%0%24%0%
4.518%0%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThe New SaintsCaernarfon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets459112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricThe New SaintsCaernarfon Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricThe New SaintsCaernarfon Town
Wins103
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-46-12-5
Biggest losses0-3—0-31-0
Goals For6465
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricThe New SaintsCaernarfon Town
Form57%43%
Att62%38%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : The New Saints or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ 188Bet
Draw7.79 @ Pinnacle
Away13.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.16 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): The New Saints = 3.08 (league 1.60), Caernarfon Town = 2.11 (league 1.36)

Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
The New Saints 0 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
2 2.6% 5.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.7% 5.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
4 2.1% 4.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 23.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1