Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:30 • Maes Tegid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.57) 1.40 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 27.5% 53.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 12.1% 16.9% 11.8% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack17%83%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bala Town Cardiff MET
HATHAT
Played89178816
Wins25%33%29%25%38%31%
Draws50%0%24%25%50%38%
Loses25%67%47%50%13%31%

Form: Bala Town: DWLWWDLDWLLLLDWLL • Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Bala Town Cardiff MET
HATHAT
GF total6612111526
GF avg0.80.70.71.41.91.6
GA total81523181129
GA avg1.01.71.42.31.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBala TownCardiff MET
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%65%81%81%
1.512%53%50%50%
2.56%12%25%31%
3.50%6%6%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
HATHAT
Clean sheets426123
Failed to score358213

Penalties

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Wins23
Draws14
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-44-2
Goals For2343
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Form29%71%
Att17%83%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff MET

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bala Town = 0.71 (league 1.57), Cardiff MET = 1.40 (league 1.36)

Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 12.1% 16.9% 11.8% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 53.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1