Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:30 • Blue Turtle Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.59) 1.45 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 24.7% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colwyn Bay 0 5.4% 7.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.9% 11.5% 8.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.5% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColwyn BayPenybont
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack50%67%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.216 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colwyn Bay Penybont
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins33%38%35%63%56%59%
Draws44%25%35%0%22%12%
Loses22%38%29%38%22%29%

Form: Colwyn Bay: DDLDDWWDLLWWDWLWL • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Colwyn Bay Penybont
HATHAT
GF total12820121628
GF avg1.31.01.21.51.81.6
GA total1051571623
GA avg1.10.60.90.91.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColwyn BayPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%65%59%
1.529%12%53%35%
2.518%6%24%18%
3.56%6%18%12%
4.50%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColwyn BayPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets336347
Failed to score246336

Penalties

MetricColwyn BayPenybont
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricColwyn BayPenybont
Wins24
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-45-00-4
Biggest losses1-41-00-26-2
Goals For3454
Goals Against4126

Model comparison

MetricColwyn BayPenybont
Form54%46%
Att43%57%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h40%60%
Goals31%69%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Penybont

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colwyn Bay = 1.48 (league 1.59), Penybont = 1.45 (league 1.37)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colwyn Bay 0 5.4% 7.8% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.9% 11.5% 8.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.5% 6.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 36.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1