Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:30 • Stebonheath Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.66) 2.90 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.0% 8.4% 82.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.4%
0 - 3
16.8%
0 - 4
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 4.1% 12.0% 17.4% 16.8% 12.1% 7.0%
1 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metricllanelli AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack17%100%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.416 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric llanelli AFC GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Played98177815
Wins11%13%12%43%63%53%
Draws22%0%12%29%25%27%
Loses67%88%76%29%13%20%

Form: llanelli AFC: LLLLLLLDWWLLLLLLD • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric llanelli AFC GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
GF total549161430
GF avg0.60.50.52.31.82.0
GA total20264611617
GA avg2.23.32.71.60.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Linellanelli AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.541%88%87%60%
1.512%65%53%33%
2.50%53%53%20%
3.50%35%7%0%
4.50%18%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metricllanelli AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets202246
Failed to score5510022

Penalties

Metricllanelli AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

Metricllanelli AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Wins23
Draws11
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-56-01-33-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

Metricllanelli AFCGAP Connah S Quay FC
Form7%93%
Att11%89%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h0%100%
Goals5%95%
Total11.2%88.8%

Advice: Winner : GAP Connah S Quay FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.00 @ Betfair
Draw7.14 @ Pinnacle
Away1.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): llanelli AFC = 0.29 (league 1.66), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 2.90 (league 1.37)

GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 4.1% 12.0% 17.4% 16.8% 12.1% 7.0%
1 1.2% 3.5% 5.0% 4.8% 3.5% 2.0%
2 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.0% · Draw 8.4% · Away win 82.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1