Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • Bryntirion Park
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.66) 0.92 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 28.7% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 11.3% 10.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.1% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenybontBarry Town
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack77%77%
Defense0%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 33 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penybont Barry Town
HATHAT
Played810189817
Wins63%50%56%22%38%29%
Draws0%20%11%56%38%47%
Loses38%30%33%22%25%24%

Form: Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWL • Barry Town: WDLDDLWDWDLLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Penybont Barry Town
HATHAT
GF total122032131124
GF avg1.52.01.81.41.41.4
GA total7212871118
GA avg0.92.11.60.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenybontBarry Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%61%59%53%
1.556%39%41%29%
2.528%22%24%18%
3.522%17%18%6%
4.56%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenybontBarry Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets347538
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricPenybontBarry Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPenybontBarry Town
Wins41
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-01-4
Biggest losses0-26-22-34-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against2634

Model comparison

MetricPenybontBarry Town
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Penybont or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penybont = 1.26 (league 1.66), Barry Town = 0.92 (league 1.37)

Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 11.3% 10.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.1% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2