Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:45 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.57) 1.18 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 29.9% 42.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 12.8% 15.0% 8.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCColwyn Bay
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack63%46%
Defense83%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 311 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
Played791610818
Wins43%67%56%40%38%39%
Draws29%22%25%40%25%33%
Loses29%11%19%20%38%28%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWW • Colwyn Bay: DDLDDWWDLLWWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
GF total16163217825
GF avg2.31.82.01.71.01.4
GA total1171814519
GA avg1.60.81.11.40.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCColwyn Bay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%67%67%
1.556%31%33%17%
2.550%19%22%11%
3.56%0%11%11%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCColwyn Bay
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score022246

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCColwyn Bay
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCColwyn Bay
Wins32
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-01-4
Biggest losses1-33-01-41-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against3341

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCColwyn Bay
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ SBO
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 0.88 (league 1.57), Colwyn Bay = 1.18 (league 1.36)

Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 12.8% 15.0% 8.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 42.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1