Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:45 • Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.66) 0.84 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.3% 13.7% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
3 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
llanelli AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.5% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiff METllanelli AFC
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack38%13%
Defense67%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff MET llanelli AFC
HATHAT
Played891710818
Wins25%33%29%10%13%11%
Draws25%56%41%20%0%11%
Loses50%11%29%70%88%78%

Form: Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWWDWLWD • llanelli AFC: LLLLLLLDWWLLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Cardiff MET llanelli AFC
HATHAT
GF total1117286410
GF avg1.41.91.60.60.50.6
GA total181331222648
GA avg2.31.41.82.23.32.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiff METllanelli AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%44%89%
1.553%53%11%67%
2.524%29%0%50%
3.56%18%0%33%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiff METllanelli AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score2135510

Penalties

MetricCardiff METllanelli AFC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCardiff METllanelli AFC
Wins32
Draws41
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-31-01-2
Biggest losses0-44-20-56-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against4456

Model comparison

MetricCardiff METllanelli AFC
Form89%11%
Att75%25%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h100%0%
Goals84%16%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Winner : Cardiff MET

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ 10Bet
Draw5.75 @ Unibet
Away9.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff MET = 2.78 (league 1.66), llanelli AFC = 0.84 (league 1.37)

llanelli AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 2.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.5% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1