Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:45 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.46 (league 1.66) 1.87 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 14.2% 16.7%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.8%
2 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Flint Town United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownFlint Town United
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack38%25%
Defense75%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town Flint Town United
HATHAT
Played810188917
Wins50%40%44%38%11%24%
Draws13%40%28%13%33%24%
Loses38%20%28%50%56%53%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDL • Flint Town United: DLLWWLDLWLLWLLDLD

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town Flint Town United
HATHAT
GF total192039151429
GF avg2.42.02.21.91.61.7
GA total131427162238
GA avg1.61.41.52.02.42.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownFlint Town United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%89%71%76%
1.561%50%53%59%
2.528%11%24%47%
3.522%0%18%29%
4.517%0%6%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownFlint Town United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownFlint Town United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownFlint Town United
Wins32
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-54-00-5
Biggest losses0-32-02-55-0
Goals For6545
Goals Against3255

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownFlint Town United
Form80%20%
Att60%40%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h93%7%
Goals68%32%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.67 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 3.46 (league 1.66), Flint Town United = 1.87 (league 1.37)

Flint Town United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 16.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1