Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 14:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.60) 2.65 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 15.3% 68.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.6%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 3
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 2.7% 7.2% 9.6% 8.5% 5.6% 3.0%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.2% 3.3% 4.3% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack29%88%
Defense53%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flint Town United GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Played910199918
Wins33%10%21%56%67%61%
Draws22%40%32%22%22%22%
Loses44%50%47%22%11%17%

Form: Flint Town United: DLLWWLDLWLLWLLDLDDD • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Flint Town United GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
GF total171532221638
GF avg1.91.51.72.41.82.1
GA total18234114721
GA avg2.02.32.21.60.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%79%89%67%
1.553%58%61%33%
2.521%42%50%17%
3.516%26%11%0%
4.55%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224246
Failed to score325022

Penalties

MetricFlint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFlint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-54-00-3
Biggest losses2-55-01-33-0
Goals For4543
Goals Against5533

Model comparison

MetricFlint Town UnitedGAP Connah S Quay FC
Form21%79%
Att25%75%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total25.7%74.3%

Advice: Winner : GAP Connah S Quay FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.46 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flint Town United = 0.95 (league 1.60), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 2.65 (league 1.36)

GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flint Town United 0 2.7% 7.2% 9.6% 8.5% 5.6% 3.0%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.1% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.2% 3.3% 4.3% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3%
3 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 68.3%

vtt 12 , vtd1