Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 14:30 • DragonBet Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.59) 1.32 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 23.4% 28.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 4.6% 6.1% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.1% 10.7% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenybontBriton Ferry
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack61%44%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penybont Briton Ferry
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%50%53%10%33%21%
Draws11%20%16%30%33%32%
Loses33%30%32%60%33%47%

Form: Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWLD • Briton Ferry: WDWLDLDLLDWLLLWDLDL

League goals

Metric Penybont Briton Ferry
HATHAT
GF total13203381826
GF avg1.42.01.70.82.01.4
GA total82129181836
GA avg0.92.11.51.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenybontBriton Ferry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%63%74%79%
1.553%37%47%68%
2.526%21%11%21%
3.521%16%5%16%
4.55%11%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenybontBriton Ferry
HATHAT
Clean sheets347224
Failed to score336505

Penalties

MetricPenybontBriton Ferry
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPenybontBriton Ferry
Wins41
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-00-3
Biggest losses0-26-22-54-1
Goals For5424
Goals Against2654

Model comparison

MetricPenybontBriton Ferry
Form58%42%
Att58%42%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals75%25%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Penybont or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ William Hill
Draw5.50 @ Unibet
Away8.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penybont = 1.76 (league 1.59), Briton Ferry = 1.32 (league 1.37)

Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 4.6% 6.1% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.1% 10.7% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 28.6%

vtt 12 , vtd1