Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 14:30 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.55) 1.18 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 28.2% 36.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 9.9% 11.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownColwyn Bay
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack57%71%
Defense50%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%40%42%40%33%37%
Draws22%40%32%40%22%32%
Loses33%20%26%20%44%32%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDLD • Colwyn Bay: DDLDDWWDLLWWDWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
GF total20204017926
GF avg2.22.02.11.71.01.4
GA total14142814721
GA avg1.61.41.51.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownColwyn Bay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%89%68%68%
1.558%47%32%21%
2.526%11%21%11%
3.521%0%11%11%
4.516%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownColwyn Bay
HATHAT
Clean sheets112336
Failed to score123246

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownColwyn Bay
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownColwyn Bay
Wins32
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-53-01-4
Biggest losses0-32-01-42-1
Goals For6554
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownColwyn Bay
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h75%25%
Goals82%18%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away3.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 1.14 (league 1.55), Colwyn Bay = 1.18 (league 1.36)

Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 9.9% 11.6% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 36.8%

vtt 8 , vtd1