Wed, Dec 31 2025 • 12:30 • Maes Tegid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.55) 1.77 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.8% 22.8% 61.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 2
12.9%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 8.3% 14.6% 12.9% 7.6% 3.4% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.6% 9.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.9%
2 2.2% 3.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBala TownCaernarfon Town
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack40%50%
Defense20%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bala Town Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
Played10919101020
Wins20%33%26%40%40%40%
Draws50%0%26%20%40%30%
Loses30%67%47%40%20%30%

Form: Bala Town: DWLWWDLDWLLLLDWLLDL • Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDLDL

League goals

Metric Bala Town Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
GF total8614212041
GF avg0.80.70.72.12.02.1
GA total121527161430
GA avg1.21.71.41.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBala TownCaernarfon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%68%85%90%
1.516%58%55%50%
2.55%11%25%10%
3.50%5%20%0%
4.50%0%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBala TownCaernarfon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets426112
Failed to score459123

Penalties

MetricBala TownCaernarfon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricBala TownCaernarfon Town
Wins23
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-36-12-5
Biggest losses1-34-00-32-0
Goals For2365
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricBala TownCaernarfon Town
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h7%93%
Goals8%92%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Caernarfon Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away1.93 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bala Town = 0.72 (league 1.55), Caernarfon Town = 1.77 (league 1.36)

Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 8.3% 14.6% 12.9% 7.6% 3.4% 1.2%
1 6.0% 10.6% 9.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.9%
2 2.2% 3.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 61.4%

vtt 21 , vtd1