Wed, Dec 31 2025 • 14:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.53) 2.68 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 14.1% 71.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.2%
0 - 3
10.0%
1 - 2
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 3.1% 8.4% 11.2% 10.0% 6.7% 3.6%
1 2.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.9% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense56%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC The New Saints
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins56%70%63%78%80%79%
Draws22%20%21%0%20%11%
Loses22%10%16%22%0%11%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWW • The New Saints: LWWDDWWWWWWWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC The New Saints
HATHAT
GF total221840322355
GF avg2.41.82.13.62.32.9
GA total1472110515
GA avg1.60.71.11.10.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%63%89%42%
1.563%32%84%26%
2.547%16%58%11%
3.511%0%32%0%
4.50%0%16%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
HATHAT
Clean sheets2575611
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Wins310
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-36-00-4
Biggest losses1-33-00-3—
Goals For4364
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Form56%44%
Att54%46%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or The New Saints

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.80 @ Unibet
Draw4.30 @ 188Bet
Away1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 0.79 (league 1.53), The New Saints = 2.68 (league 1.38)

The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 3.1% 8.4% 11.2% 10.0% 6.7% 3.6%
1 2.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.9% 5.3% 2.8%
2 1.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 71.9%

vtt 14 , vtd1