Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stebonheath Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.53) 3.20 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.2% 10.7% 72.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.8%
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 1.8% 5.7% 9.1% 9.8% 7.8% 5.0%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.5% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.1% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metricllanelli AFCPenybont
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack36%73%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric llanelli AFC Penybont
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins10%10%10%50%50%50%
Draws20%0%10%20%20%20%
Loses70%90%80%30%30%30%

Form: llanelli AFC: LLLLLLLDWWLLLLLLDLLL • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWLDD

League goals

Metric llanelli AFC Penybont
HATHAT
GF total6511142034
GF avg0.60.50.61.42.01.7
GA total22315392130
GA avg2.23.12.70.92.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Linellanelli AFCPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%90%70%65%
1.510%70%50%35%
2.50%50%25%20%
3.50%30%20%15%
4.50%15%5%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metricllanelli AFCPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets202347
Failed to score5611336

Penalties

Metricllanelli AFCPenybont
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

Metricllanelli AFCPenybont
Wins24
Draws11
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-25-00-4
Biggest losses0-56-00-26-2
Goals For2254
Goals Against5626

Model comparison

Metricllanelli AFCPenybont
Form17%83%
Att33%67%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%63%
Total30.2%70.0%

Advice: Winner : Penybont

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ Unibet
Draw6.00 @ Unibet
Away1.35 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): llanelli AFC = 0.82 (league 1.53), Penybont = 3.20 (league 1.38)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
llanelli AFC 0 1.8% 5.7% 9.1% 9.8% 7.8% 5.0%
1 1.5% 4.7% 7.5% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.1% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.2% · Draw 10.7% · Away win 72.5%

vtt 3 , vtd1