Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:45 • DragonBet Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.59) 1.12 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 27.9% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 9.5% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.7% 13.1% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenybontCardiff MET
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack60%40%
Defense47%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penybont Cardiff MET
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%55%52%27%30%29%
Draws20%18%19%36%50%43%
Loses30%27%29%36%20%29%

Form: Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWLDDW • Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWWDWLWDWDLD

League goals

Metric Penybont Cardiff MET
HATHAT
GF total142135151732
GF avg1.41.91.71.41.71.5
GA total92130211435
GA avg0.91.91.41.91.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenybontCardiff MET
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%62%76%81%
1.548%33%52%48%
2.524%19%19%24%
3.519%14%5%14%
4.55%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenybontCardiff MET
HATHAT
Clean sheets358224
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricPenybontCardiff MET
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPenybontCardiff MET
Wins43
Draws24
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-10-3
Biggest losses0-26-20-44-2
Goals For5443
Goals Against2644

Model comparison

MetricPenybontCardiff MET
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h38%62%
Goals58%42%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Penybont or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Dafabet
Draw3.90 @ Superbet
Away5.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penybont = 1.24 (league 1.59), Cardiff MET = 1.12 (league 1.37)

Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 9.5% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.7% 13.1% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 33.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1