Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:45 • Go Goodwins Stadium
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.60) 2.12 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.2% 19.7% 62.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.8%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 4.8% 10.1% 10.8% 7.6% 4.0% 1.7%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.0% 4.3% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack27%93%
Defense60%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%45%43%64%70%67%
Draws20%36%29%18%20%19%
Loses40%18%29%18%10%14%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDLDLW • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
GF total212142281846
GF avg2.11.92.02.51.82.2
GA total16143016723
GA avg1.61.31.41.50.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%90%67%
1.552%48%67%29%
2.524%10%52%14%
3.519%0%10%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets123257
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Wins33
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-54-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-33-0
Goals For6543
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Form25%75%
Att22%78%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Winner : GAP Connah S Quay FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away2.85 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 0.92 (league 1.60), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 2.12 (league 1.36)

GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 4.8% 10.1% 10.8% 7.6% 4.0% 1.7%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.0% 4.3% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 62.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1