Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.86) 3.99 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.3% 8.1% 65.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.2%
1 - 4
7.2%
0 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 0.6% 2.5% 5.0% 6.7% 6.7% 5.3%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7%
2 0.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.1%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNürnbergBayer Leverkusen W
Played22
Form17%50%
Attack11%17%
Defense72%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 2.54 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nürnberg Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%50%0%100%50%

Form: Nürnberg: DL • Bayer Leverkusen W: LW

League goals

Metric Nürnberg Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
GF total112303
GF avg1.01.01.03.00.01.5
GA total415224
GA avg4.01.02.52.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNürnbergBayer Leverkusen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%100%
1.50%50%50%100%
2.50%50%50%0%
3.50%50%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNürnbergBayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricNürnbergBayer Leverkusen W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNürnbergBayer Leverkusen W
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2
Biggest losses1-42-0
Goals For1130
Goals Against4122

Model comparison

MetricNürnbergBayer Leverkusen W
Form25%75%
Att40%60%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals11%89%
Total30.0%70.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.79 @ 1xBet
Draw6.10 @ Unibet
Away1.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nürnberg = 1.08 (league 1.86), Bayer Leverkusen W = 3.99 (league 1.50)

Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 0.6% 2.5% 5.0% 6.7% 6.7% 5.3%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7%
2 0.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.1%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.3% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 65.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1