Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Volksparkstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.83) 1.90 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 22.3% 47.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV W 0 3.6% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.1% 9.8% 9.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SV WSC Freiburg W
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack28%39%
Defense17%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%13%13%75%14%47%
Draws29%25%27%13%14%13%
Loses57%63%60%13%71%40%

Form: Hamburger SV W: DDLWLLDLLLDLLLW • SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWWLDWL

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
GF total961520828
GF avg1.30.81.02.51.11.9
GA total19203991423
GA avg2.72.52.61.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SV WSC Freiburg W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%80%67%
1.520%67%53%47%
2.57%47%33%27%
3.50%33%7%13%
4.50%13%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SV WSC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022415
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricHamburger SV WSC Freiburg W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricHamburger SV WSC Freiburg W
Wins12
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-16-20-3
Biggest losses0-46-02-44-0
Goals For3263
Goals Against4644

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SV WSC Freiburg W
Form36%64%
Att42%58%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total33.4%66.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Away1.95 @ Dafabet
Draw3.65 @ Superbet
Home3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV W = 1.42 (league 1.83), SC Freiburg W = 1.90 (league 1.56)

SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV W 0 3.6% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
1 5.1% 9.8% 9.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 47.6%

vtt 4 , vtd1