Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 17:00 • Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.86) 0.66 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 24.5% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim W 0 10.2% 6.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.0% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 8.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WNürnberg
Played33
Form67%11%
Attack44%11%
Defense83%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 16 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim W Nürnberg
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%33%
Loses0%50%33%100%0%67%

Form: 1899 Hoffenheim W: WWL • Nürnberg: DLL

League goals

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim W Nürnberg
HATHAT
GF total358112
GF avg3.02.52.70.51.00.7
GA total033516
GA avg0.01.51.02.51.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1899 Hoffenheim WNürnberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%100%
1.567%33%0%33%
2.567%0%0%33%
3.533%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WNürnberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WNürnberg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WNürnberg
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-4
Biggest losses2-11-4
Goals For3411
Goals Against0241

Model comparison

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WNürnberg
Form86%14%
Att80%20%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total77.7%22.3%

Advice: Winner : 1899 Hoffenheim W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ 10Bet
Draw7.50 @ Bet365
Away13.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.44 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): 1899 Hoffenheim W = 1.62 (league 1.86), Nürnberg = 0.66 (league 1.50)

Nürnberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim W 0 10.2% 6.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.5% 11.0% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 8.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1