Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • FC Bayern Campus
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.69 (league 1.86) 0.05 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
86.7% 7.3% 0.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
23.3%
3 - 0
21.0%
1 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Werder Bremen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern Munich W 0 6.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern Munich WWerder Bremen W
Played44
Form83%58%
Attack41%41%
Defense100%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.39 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 07 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern Munich W Werder Bremen W
HATHAT
Played314224
Wins67%100%75%50%50%50%
Draws33%0%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: Bayern Munich W: WWDW • Werder Bremen W: DWWL

League goals

Metric Bayern Munich W Werder Bremen W
HATHAT
GF total639369
GF avg2.03.02.31.53.02.3
GA total000257
GA avg0.00.00.01.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern Munich WWerder Bremen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%0%100%100%
1.575%0%75%25%
2.550%0%25%25%
3.525%0%25%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern Munich WWerder Bremen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricBayern Munich WWerder Bremen W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBayern Munich WWerder Bremen W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-11-4
Biggest losses4-2
Goals For4324
Goals Against0014

Model comparison

MetricBayern Munich WWerder Bremen W
Form59%41%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%13%
Total65.7%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bayern Munich W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ Bet365
Draw8.83 @ Pinnacle
Away21.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bayern Munich W = 2.69 (league 1.86), Werder Bremen W = 0.05 (league 1.50)

Werder Bremen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern Munich W 0 6.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 21.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 86.7% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 0.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1