Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 16:00 •
Volksparkstadion
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.83)
4.78 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.5% | 10.1% | 41.2% |
best score tips
2 - 4
4.7%
2 - 5
4.5%
2 - 3
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
| 1899 Hoffenheim W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Attack | 29% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 9 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Hamburger SV W: DDLW • 1899 Hoffenheim W: WWLD
League goals
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-2 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hamburger SV W | 1899 Hoffenheim W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : 1899 Hoffenheim W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV W = 2.46 (league 1.83), 1899 Hoffenheim W = 4.78 (league 1.57)
| 1899 Hoffenheim W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hamburger SV W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.5% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 41.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1