Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 16:00 • Franz-Kremer Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.86) 0.66 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 46.7% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.3%
0 - 1
26.1%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Koln W 0 39.3% 26.1% 8.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
1 10.6% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Koln WBayer Leverkusen W
Played44
Form25%75%
Attack14%29%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.86 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Koln W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%50%25%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%75%0%50%25%

Form: FC Koln W: LLLW • Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWW

League goals

Metric FC Koln W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
GF total123516
GF avg0.51.00.82.50.51.5
GA total426325
GA avg2.01.01.51.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Koln WBayer Leverkusen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%75%75%
1.525%50%50%50%
2.50%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Koln WBayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricFC Koln WBayer Leverkusen W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFC Koln WBayer Leverkusen W
Wins00
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-23-20-1
Biggest losses0-21-02-0
Goals For1231
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricFC Koln WBayer Leverkusen W
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total28.8%71.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen W and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away1.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Koln W = 0.27 (league 1.86), Bayer Leverkusen W = 0.66 (league 1.50)

Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Koln W 0 39.3% 26.1% 8.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
1 10.6% 7.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 46.7% · Away win 40.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1