Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 10:00 • Stadion Essen
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.86) 1.66 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.6% 23.4% 64.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
VfL Wolfsburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGS Essen W 0 11.1% 18.4% 15.3% 8.5% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 9.9% 8.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSGS Essen WVfL Wolfsburg W
Played44
Form8%83%
Attack6%71%
Defense47%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.312 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 2.37 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SGS Essen W VfL Wolfsburg W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%100%50%75%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses50%100%75%0%0%0%

Form: SGS Essen W: LDLL • VfL Wolfsburg W: DWWW

League goals

Metric SGS Essen W VfL Wolfsburg W
HATHAT
GF total1017512
GF avg0.50.00.33.52.53.0
GA total279347
GA avg1.03.52.31.52.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSGS Essen WVfL Wolfsburg W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%75%100%100%
1.50%75%100%50%
2.50%25%75%25%
3.50%25%25%0%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSGS Essen WVfL Wolfsburg W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricSGS Essen WVfL Wolfsburg W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSGS Essen WVfL Wolfsburg W
Wins00
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-2
Biggest losses1-25-0
Goals For1043
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricSGS Essen WVfL Wolfsburg W
Form9%91%
Att8%92%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%100%
Goals7%93%
Total18.2%81.8%

Advice: Winner : VfL Wolfsburg W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.50 @ Betfair
Away1.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SGS Essen W = 0.54 (league 1.86), VfL Wolfsburg W = 1.66 (league 1.50)

VfL Wolfsburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SGS Essen W 0 11.1% 18.4% 15.3% 8.5% 3.5% 1.2%
1 6.0% 9.9% 8.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 64.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1