Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.86) 0.16 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.7% 15.3% 2.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
23.1%
1 - 0
22.9%
3 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin W 0 11.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.1% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion Berlin WSC Freiburg W
Played44
Form58%58%
Attack35%40%
Defense75%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.88 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.37 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%100%0%50%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%50%25%0%50%25%

Form: Union Berlin W: DLWW • SC Freiburg W: DWWL

League goals

Metric Union Berlin W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
GF total347718
GF avg1.52.01.83.50.52.0
GA total145257
GA avg0.52.01.31.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion Berlin WSC Freiburg W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%75%
1.575%25%25%50%
2.50%25%25%25%
3.50%0%25%25%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion Berlin WSC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricUnion Berlin WSC Freiburg W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUnion Berlin WSC Freiburg W
Wins02
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-26-2—
Biggest losses—3-2—4-0
Goals For2261
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricUnion Berlin WSC Freiburg W
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total61.8%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Union Berlin W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin W = 2.02 (league 1.86), SC Freiburg W = 0.16 (league 1.59)

SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin W 0 11.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.1% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.7% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 2.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1