Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 16:30 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.83) 0.26 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.0% 13.0% 3.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
17.9%
3 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
SGS Essen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.9% 4.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.5% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.8% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB Leipzig WSGS Essen W
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack27%5%
Defense59%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.817 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig W SGS Essen W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%20%33%0%20%
Loses100%33%60%67%100%80%

Form: RB Leipzig W: WLLLD • SGS Essen W: LDLLL

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig W SGS Essen W
HATHAT
GF total066101
GF avg0.02.01.20.30.00.2
GA total45910717
GA avg2.01.71.83.33.53.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB Leipzig WSGS Essen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%20%80%
1.540%40%0%80%
2.520%40%0%40%
3.50%20%0%40%
4.50%0%0%40%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB Leipzig WSGS Essen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score202224

Penalties

MetricRB Leipzig WSGS Essen W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRB Leipzig WSGS Essen W
Wins10
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2——
Biggest losses0-34-30-85-0
Goals For0310
Goals Against3485

Model comparison

MetricRB Leipzig WSGS Essen W
Form80%20%
Att86%14%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : RB Leipzig W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.19 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 2.30 (league 1.83), SGS Essen W = 0.26 (league 1.57)

SGS Essen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.9% 4.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.5% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.8% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.0% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 3.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1