Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:45 •
Weserstadion Platz 11
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.83)
0.64 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.1% | 24.1% | 14.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Hamburger SV W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Werder Bremen W | 0 | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 53% | 41% |
| Defense | 35% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% |
Form: Werder Bremen W: DWWLL • Hamburger SV W: DDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Werder Bremen W | Hamburger SV W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 63.4% | 36.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Werder Bremen W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen W = 1.64 (league 1.83), Hamburger SV W = 0.64 (league 1.57)
| Hamburger SV W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Werder Bremen W | 0 | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 14.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1